Bitcoin Major Rally “Coming Soon” (75% Odds) | Alessio Rastani’s Outlook

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In this interview, Alessio Rastani explains why Bitcoin’s blow-off top may still be ahead, despite extreme fear and recent price drops. We dig into key indicators, the Death Cross signal, market sentiment, and why the next 1–3 months could be critical for Bitcoin’s trajectory.

00:00 – Intro
00:33 – Are We in a Bear or Bull Market?
01:11 – Do You Still Stand by the 75% Rally Prediction?
03:44 – What Macro Factors Could Justify a Move Higher?
06:47 – How Do You Interpret Extreme Fear in the Market?
08:44 – Odds of New Bitcoin All-Time Highs This Year?
10:00 – Why Didn’t We Get a Blow-Off Top in 2025?
12:37 – Is Bitcoin Near Capitulation and a Big Bounce?
14:57 – Is the Four-Year Cycle Broken or Still Valid?
16:20 – Why Timing Cycles Alone Are Unreliable
17:56 – How Do We Confirm a Real Bear Market?
19:20 – What Would the Next Rally Need to Look Like?
21:58 – Outro

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Date: December 3, 2025

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