Where in the current #Bitcoin market cycle are we?
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But why are you so sure there will be a bear market? Even without blowoff top?
Very interesting you said that bear markets happen during midterms. I think that's because all these people leaving federal office dump millions of dollars in their shares that they rode up along through their term. Just my .02
The Bitcoin (new) ATH was early, ahead of the halving. Does that mean anything?
What does dont be complacent mean? Ive heard ben say that a few times already. Time the top?
So, basically we hope for a spike that will top in December along with QE as an extra boost? I have a gut feeling that this cycle won’t be over in October, maybe November, let’s hope for December.
Top is in unfortunately
Why does it feel like this wasnt even a bull market? no alt szn, no blow off tops, eth cant even 2x last cycle's high, just seems suppressed…
If this is the end of our Story, So be it 👍
Good bye all of my BTC.D Haters ❤
Not sure why no one points out the obvious, in order for price to keep appreciating at that rate you need exponentially more capital. Each cycle diminishes growth peak to peak by about 50%. To get to 1million a coin you would need 20 Trillion dollar market cap, the entire real estate portfolio in the US right now is just over that. Bitcoin can grow slightly over time but will have lower highs and higher lows. The question is what happens when the majority of people realize that it will never go over 500k?
Fantastic analysis as always, Ben. Your ability to cut through the noise with data-driven, historical context is invaluable. The 'Q4 2025 peak / 2026 bear market' thesis provides a clear, rational framework for navigating what's ahead. Thank you!