Tom Lee says the real bull market hasn’t even begun, predicting massive growth in the stock market, suggesting the S&P 500 will more than double by 2030 thanks to AI-driven productivity and economic strength. But when I break down the numbers, history, and fundamentals, that kind of growth would require an unrealistic 28% annual earnings increase — something we’ve never seen, not even during past tech booms. While Wall Street, Cramer, and Cathie Wood cheer on this rally, I stay grounded in principles: focus on valuation, avoid hype, and invest with discipline. Whether the market soars or crashes, sticking to logic over emotion is what really builds wealth.
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![FOMC LIVE Crypto TRADING Competition: Banter Royale 🏆 [Episode 3]](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/rwlg4xkUke8/maxresdefault.jpg "FOMC LIVE Crypto TRADING Competition: Banter Royale 🏆 [Episode 3]")
I wish I had you as a teacher in school. Would’ve been off to a better start
6:50 my girlfriend 🤣
Tom Lee is probably half right, 2 more years on the Bull market is my prediction.
Nvidia growing to a 10 trillion evaluation is not out of the question by 2030 so it honestly is possible. That would be 8 percent of the S&P500 going up 100 percent. Also PE ratios go up when companies are growing fast. I can’t wait to see how this video ages. Anything can happen tbh.
The big claim? That you could double your money is 5 years? Very nice, but hardly earth shattering.
Using the compounding rule of 78. If the market averages 10%/yr (like it has been for a looong time), you would double in 7 years.
1 Tom Lee has been calling for ETH 7000 by late Oct since early Sept. So far he has been Dead Wrong !
2. ETH can only transact about 50 to 100 transactions per second that is probably like 1000 times to slow for
Wall Street to use it to transact trades.
Don’t watch to this channel, thanks to them I bought BABA, only now I’m on 0, Smith and Wesson I lost 40%, and WBA -70% delisted. THANKS PAUL NOBODY IS TEACHING INVESTING LIKE YOU DO 😂
I agree with the math thank you. I still think 10% per year as very possible so I'm invested.
AI is fundamentally and fatally flawed due to an intrinsic math problem called “Hallucination” where an ai is “guaranteed” to provide a plausibly true answer that is factually wrong. No CIO is ever going to deploy AI in a mission critical application. IBM Watson, the famed AI that beat the Jeopardy champion failed disastrously when deployed into medical applications due to Hallucination! Next year the market, led by AI will collapse 80%! But first, a massive “blow iff” top is ahead of us. Check out the great David Hunter (contrarian) for details.
This was a great watch! Maybe next time do one for people starting later in life, like in their 40s or 50s, who do not have decades to build up. Always love your uploads, they give a new way to think about things.